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Is tourism a primary driver of inflation in house prices? The case of European countries

International Review of Economics

Abstract In this empirical investigation, the influence of tourism on housing prices was studied for 13 European Union countries from 2005 to 2019 using cs-ARDL and Quantile cs-ARDL econometric approaches. The findings reveal a positive effect running from the tourism sector (represented by tourism revenues and the number of arrivals) to housing price indices, indicating that this industry significantly impacts real estate markets. Moreover, the results show that economic growth, bank credit, and population growth drive house prices. These outcomes have significant implications for policymakers, highlighting the dual nature of tourism’s impact and the need for a careful balance between promoting tourism as an economic strategy and ensuring housing affordability for residents.

Authors: José Alberto Fuinhas, Daniela Castilho, Volkan Kaymaz, Matheus Koengkan

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12232-025-00498-7

Publish Year: 2025